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Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Advanced Multivariate Deep Learning Methodology for Forecasting Wind Speed and Solar Irradiation

Md Shafiullah, Abdul Rahman Katranji, Mannan Hassan, Md Mahfuzur Rahman and Sk. A. Shezan
Smart cities (Basel), Vol.9(4), 59
2026
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities9040059
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Published4.64 MBDownloadView
Open Access CC BY V4.0

Abstract

energy strategy artificial intelligence-driven energy systems forecasting machine learning renewable energy recurrent neural networks convolutional neural networks multivariate models
The transition to smart cities is accelerating distributed wind and solar deployment. However, their intermittency challenges grid operation, thereby making accurate machine-learning-based prediction of wind speed and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) crucial. This study presents a cost-effective approach that enhances prediction accuracy by extracting additional features from timestamp records for deep learning models used to forecast GHI and wind speed. Unlike conventional methods that require onsite meteorological measurements, the proposed approach uses only date and time information as inputs to multivariate deep neural networks, including recurrent neural networks, gated recurrent units, long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, and convolutional neural networks. For wind speed prediction, the proposed configuration achieves R2 up to 0.9987, with RMSE as low as 0.067 m/s for 3 d ahead forecasting, outperforming univariate baselines and matching models. For GHI forecasting, the time-based configuration attains R2 values above 0.9994 in 12 h ahead predictions, with the RMSE reduced to approximately 4.47 W/m2, representing a substantial improvement over univariate models. The proposed framework maintains strong performance, particularly under clear and sunny conditions. These results demonstrate that timestamp-engineered features can deliver forecasting accuracy comparable to conventional multivariate meteorological models while significantly reducing infrastructure requirements, making the approach well-suited for scalable smart city energy management.

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UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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