Journal article
Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum
PLoS ONE, Vol.8(5), e63508
2013
Abstract
Phytophthora ramorum, an invasive plant pathogen of unknown origin, causes considerable and widespread damage in plant industries and natural ecosystems of the USA and Europe. Estimating the potential geographical range of P. ramorum has been complicated by a lack of biological and geographical data with which to calibrate climatic models. Previous attempts to do so, using either invaded range data or surrogate species approaches, have delivered varying results. A simulation model was developed using CLIMEX to estimate the global climate suitability patterns for establishment of P. ramorum. Growth requirements and stress response parameters were derived from ecophysiological laboratory observations and site-level transmission and disease factors related to climate data in the field. Geographical distribution data from the USA (California and Oregon) and Norway were reserved from model-fitting and used to validate the models. The model suggests that the invasion of P. ramorum in both North America and Europe is still in its infancy and that it is presently occupying a small fraction of its potential range. Phytophthora ramorum appears to be climatically suited to large areas of Africa, Australasia and South America, where it could cause biodiversity and economic losses in plant industries and natural ecosystems with susceptible hosts if introduced.
Details
- Title
- Combining inferential and deductive approaches to estimate the potential geographical range of the invasive plant pathogen, Phytophthora ramorum
- Authors/Creators
- K.B. Ireland (Author/Creator) - Murdoch UniversityG.E.S.J. Hardy (Author/Creator) - Murdoch UniversityD.J. Kriticos (Author/Creator) - Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
- Publication Details
- PLoS ONE, Vol.8(5), e63508
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science
- Identifiers
- 991005541046607891
- Copyright
- © 2013 Ireland et al.
- Murdoch Affiliation
- Centre for Phytophthora Science and Management; School of Veterinary and Life Sciences
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Note
- This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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InCites Highlights
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- Collaboration types
- Domestic collaboration
- Citation topics
- 3 Agriculture, Environment & Ecology
- 3.97 Plant Pathology
- 3.97.1439 Phytophthora Management
- Web Of Science research areas
- Plant Sciences
- ESI research areas
- Plant & Animal Science