On exposure, vulnerability and violence: Spatial distribution of risk factors for climate change and violent conflict across Kenya and Uganda

T. Ide; J. Schilling; J.S.A. Link; J. Scheffran; G. Ngaruiya; T. Weinzierl

doi:10.1016/j.polgeo.2014.10.007

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On exposure, vulnerability and violence: Spatial distribution of risk factors for climate change and violent conflict across Kenya and Uganda

Journal article

Open access

Peer reviewed

On exposure, vulnerability and violence: Spatial distribution of risk factors for climate change and violent conflict across Kenya and Uganda

T. Ide, J. Schilling, J.S.A. Link, J. Scheffran, G. Ngaruiya and T. Weinzierl

Political Geography, Vol.43, pp.68-81

2014

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2014.10.007

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Abstract

Recent studies discuss the link between climate change and violent conflict, especially for East Africa. While there is extensive literature on the question whether climate change increases the risk of violent conflict onset, not much is known about where a climate-conflict link is most likely to be found. We address this question by analyzing the spatial distribution of the factors commonly associated with a high exposure and vulnerability to climate change, and a high risk of violent conflict onset in Kenya and Uganda. Drawing on recent literature and quantitative data for the period 1998–2008, we develop various specifications of a composite risk index (CRI) with a spatial resolution of half a degree for Kenya and Uganda in the year 2008. A quantitative comparison with conflict data for the year 2008 provides support for the composite risk index. Finally, the composite risk index is contrasted with the findings of three qualitative case studies, which provide mixed support for the index and help to identify its strengths and weaknesses as well as conceptual needs for further quantitative studies on climate change and violent conflict.

Details

Title: On exposure, vulnerability and violence: Spatial distribution of risk factors for climate change and violent conflict across Kenya and Uganda
Authors/Creators: T. Ide (Author/Creator) - CRG Climate Change and Security, Research Area C: Climate Change and Social Dynamics, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations
J. Schilling (Author/Creator) - CRG Climate Change and Security, Research Area C: Climate Change and Social Dynamics, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations
J.S.A. Link (Author/Creator) - Clinical Research Organization
J. Scheffran (Author/Creator) - C 4 - Climate Change, Security Risks and Violent Conflicts, Research Area C: Climate Change and Social Dynamics, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations
G. Ngaruiya (Author/Creator) - CRG Climate Change and Security, Research Area C: Climate Change and Social Dynamics, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations
T. Weinzierl (Author/Creator) - Universität Hamburg
Publication Details: Political Geography, Vol.43, pp.68-81
Publisher: Elsevier
Identifiers: 991005545335007891
Copyright: © 2014 Elsevier Ltd
Murdoch Affiliation: Murdoch University
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article

UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This output has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

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70 Times Cited - Web of Science

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Collaboration types: International collaboration
Citation topics: 6 Social Sciences; 6.27 Political Science; 6.27.50 International Relations
Web Of Science research areas: Geography; Political Science
ESI research areas: Social Sciences, general