Pre-COVID life expectancy, mortality, and burden of diseases for adults 70 years and older in Australia: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

Liliana G. Ciobanu; Nadezhda V. Baryshnikova; Magdalene Catharine Jawahar; Catherine G. Toben; Elysia Sokolenko; Victoria Kiriaki Arnet; Isaac Yeboah Addo; Oyelola A. Adegboye; Bright Opoku Ahinkorah; Khurshid Alam; Sheikh Mohammad Alif; Edward Kwabena Ameyaw; Deanna Anderlini; Blake Angell; Adnan Ansar; Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor; Thomas Astell-Burt; Prince Atorkey; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Getinet Ayano; Abraham Samuel Babu; Nasser Bagheri; Bernhard T. Baune; Dinesh Bhandari; Sonu Bhaskar; Soufiane Boufous; Andrew M. Briggs; Norma B. Bulamu; Richard A. Burns; Andre F. Carvalho; Ester Cerin; Nicolas Cherbuin; Enayet Karim Chowdhury; Marita Cross; Diego De Leo; Tim Robert Driscoll; Mi Du; David Edvardsson; Kristina Edvardsson; Ferry Efendi; Aklilu Endalamaw; Nelsensius Klau Fauk; Joanne Flavel; Richard Charles Franklin; Tiffany K. Gill; Bhawna Gupta; Vivek Kumar Gupta; Mohammad Hamiduzzaman; Graeme J. Hankey; Simon I. Hay; Jeffrey J. Hebert; Delia Hendrie; Catherine L. Hill; M. Mamun Huda; Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam; Billingsley Kaambwa; Himal Kandel; Gizat M. Kassie; Jessica A. Kerr; Asaduzzaman Khan; M. Nuruzzaman Khan; Vishnutheertha Kulkarni; Ratilal Lalloo; Long Khanh Dao Le; James Leigh; Gang Liu; Rashidul Alam Mahumud; Abdullah A. Mamun; John J. McGrath; Atte Meretoja; Ted R. Miller; Philip B. Mitchell; Ali H. Mokdad; Lidia Morawska; Kehinde O. Obamiro; Amy E. Peden; Konrad Pesudovs; Azizur Rahman; Md Mijanur Rahman; Muhammad Aziz Rahman; Zubair Ahmed Ratan; Lal Rawal; Susan Fred Rumisha; Perminder S. Sachdev; Abdul-Aziz Seidu; Saurab Sharma; Seyed Afshin Shorofi; Soraya Siabani; Ambrish Singh; Balbir Bagicha Singh; Helen Slater; Mark A. Stokes; Narayan Subedi; Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla; Amanda G. Thrift; Mai Thi Ngoc Tran; Corneel Vandelanotte; Ning Wang; Paul Ward; Mark Woodward; Xiaoyue Xu; Lalit Yadav; Sojib Bin Zaman; Jianrong Zhang; Scott Richard Clark; GBD 2019 Australia Collaborators

doi:10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101092

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Pre-COVID life expectancy, mortality, and burden of diseases for adults 70 years and older in Australia: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

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Pre-COVID life expectancy, mortality, and burden of diseases for adults 70 years and older in Australia: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

Liliana G. Ciobanu, Nadezhda V. Baryshnikova, Magdalene Catharine Jawahar, Catherine G. Toben, Elysia Sokolenko, Victoria Kiriaki Arnet, Isaac Yeboah Addo, Oyelola A. Adegboye, Bright Opoku Ahinkorah, Khurshid Alam, …

The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, Vol.47, 101092

2024

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2024.101092

PMID: 38911261

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Abstract

Aged 70 and above

Australia

GBD 2019

Global Burden of Disease Study

Background The Australian population aged 70 and above is increasing and imposing new challenges for policy makers and providers to deliver accessible, appropriate and affordable health care. We examine pre-COVID patterns of health loss between 1990 and 2019 to inform policies and practices. Methods Using the standardised methodology framework and analytical strategies from GBD 2019 methodologies, we estimated mortality, causes of death, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), life expectancy at age 70 and above (LE-70), and healthy life expectancy (HALE-70) in Australia comparing them globally and with high socio-demographic index (SDI) groups. Findings DALY rates have been improving steadily over the past 30 years among Australians aged 70 and above. Decreases in DALY rates were primarily attributed to a fall in YLLs attributable to cardiovascular diseases (60%) and chronic respiratory disorders (30.2%) and transport injuries (56.9%), while the non-fatal burden remained stable from 1990 to 2019. According to the DALY rates, the top five leading causes are ischemic heart disease, Alzheimer's disease, COPD, stroke, and falls, where falls exhibited the largest increase since 1990. Interpretation This study provides an in-depth report on the main causes of mortality and disability in Australia's population aged 70 and above. It sheds light on the shifts in burden over three decades, emphasising the need for the Australian health system to enhance its readiness in addressing the escalating demands of an ageing population. These findings establish pre-COVID baseline estimates for Australia's population aged 70 and above, informing healthcare preparedness. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Details

Title: Pre-COVID life expectancy, mortality, and burden of diseases for adults 70 years and older in Australia: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study
Authors/Creators: Liliana G. Ciobanu
Nadezhda V. Baryshnikova
Magdalene Catharine Jawahar
Catherine G. Toben
Elysia Sokolenko
Victoria Kiriaki Arnet
Isaac Yeboah Addo
Oyelola A. Adegboye
Bright Opoku Ahinkorah
Khurshid Alam - Murdoch University, Centre for Healthy Ageing
Sheikh Mohammad Alif
Edward Kwabena Ameyaw
Deanna Anderlini
Blake Angell
Adnan Ansar
Anayochukwu Edward Anyasodor
Thomas Astell-Burt
Prince Atorkey
Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla - La Trobe University
Getinet Ayano - The University of Western Australia
Abraham Samuel Babu
Nasser Bagheri
Bernhard T. Baune
Dinesh Bhandari
Sonu Bhaskar
Soufiane Boufous
Andrew M. Briggs - Curtin University
Norma B. Bulamu
Richard A. Burns
Andre F. Carvalho
Ester Cerin
Nicolas Cherbuin - Supreme Council Of Health
Enayet Karim Chowdhury - Curtin University
Marita Cross - The University of Sydney
Diego De Leo
Tim Robert Driscoll - The University of Sydney
Mi Du
David Edvardsson - La Trobe University
Kristina Edvardsson
Ferry Efendi
Aklilu Endalamaw
Nelsensius Klau Fauk
Joanne Flavel
Richard Charles Franklin - James Cook University
Tiffany K. Gill
Bhawna Gupta
Vivek Kumar Gupta
Mohammad Hamiduzzaman - Southern Cross University
Graeme J. Hankey
Simon I. Hay
Jeffrey J. Hebert - University of New Brunswick
Delia Hendrie - Curtin University
Catherine L. Hill
M. Mamun Huda
Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam - Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Billingsley Kaambwa
Himal Kandel
Gizat M. Kassie
Jessica A. Kerr
Asaduzzaman Khan
M. Nuruzzaman Khan
Vishnutheertha Kulkarni
Ratilal Lalloo
Long Khanh Dao Le
James Leigh - The University of Sydney
Gang Liu
Rashidul Alam Mahumud
Abdullah A. Mamun
John J. McGrath
Atte Meretoja
Ted R. Miller
Philip B. Mitchell
Ali H. Mokdad
Lidia Morawska - Queensland University of Technology
Kehinde O. Obamiro
Amy E. Peden
Konrad Pesudovs - Flinders University
Azizur Rahman
Md Mijanur Rahman
Muhammad Aziz Rahman
Zubair Ahmed Ratan
Lal Rawal - Supreme Council Of Health
Susan Fred Rumisha
Perminder S. Sachdev
Abdul-Aziz Seidu - University of Cape Coast
Saurab Sharma
Seyed Afshin Shorofi
Soraya Siabani - College Station Medical Center
Ambrish Singh
Balbir Bagicha Singh
Helen Slater
Mark A. Stokes
Narayan Subedi
Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla
Amanda G. Thrift - Monash University
Mai Thi Ngoc Tran
Corneel Vandelanotte
Ning Wang
Paul Ward
Mark Woodward
Xiaoyue Xu
Lalit Yadav - The George Institute for Global Health
Sojib Bin Zaman - International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research
Jianrong Zhang
Scott Richard Clark
GBD 2019 Australia Collaborators
Publication Details: The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, Vol.47, 101092
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
Grant note: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Identifiers: 991005684369707891
Murdoch Affiliation: Murdoch University
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article

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