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Statistical prediction of tropical cyclone motion in the northwest of Australia
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Statistical prediction of tropical cyclone motion in the northwest of Australia

T.J. Lyons and C. C. Joyce
Archives for Meteorology, Geophysics, and Bioclimatology Series B, Vol.32(2-3), pp.201-218
1983
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Abstract

Statistical models based on persistence and climatology are used to forecast tropical cyclone tracks off the northwest coast of Australia. A comparison based on the 1980-81 season shows that a first order least squares fit of the eight primary predictors has a higher level of statistical significance and comparable mean forecast errors to predictions based on higher order regression equations.

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Citation topics
8 Earth Sciences
8.19 Oceanography, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
8.19.113 Weather Forecasting
Web Of Science research areas
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
ESI research areas
Geosciences
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