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The greenback’s double bind: why the global dollar may struggle to survive the Trump administration
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

The greenback’s double bind: why the global dollar may struggle to survive the Trump administration

Gerard Strange
Australian Journal of International Affairs
2025
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CC BY-NC-ND V4.0 Open Access

Abstract

US dollar hegemony Trump economic nationalism crisis of liberal world order
In this discussion piece, the dollar’s recent history of strength and endurance as a global currency, despite many challenges, is outlined in review in order to provide context for analyses of the currency’s most recent challenges, including those faced under the new Trump administration. These are explained as a double bind. On the one hand, as emphasised by Kenneth Rogoff [2025. Our Dollar, Your Problem. New Haven: Yale University Press], among others, America’s burgeoning and ‘unsustainable’ debt, likely to be exacerbated by the inflationary trade and fiscal policies of the Trump administration, points towards the inevitability of a full-blown fiscal and monetary crisis embroiling the Fed and the dollar. On the other hand, should Trump’s policy agenda lean further towards the right libertarian and economic nationalist ideas of the Republican movement and the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 (a serious danger given the project’s clear influence on other Trump policies) the global dollar may turn out to be doomed by design.

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6 Social Sciences
6.27 Political Science
6.27.2149 Developmental State
Web Of Science research areas
International Relations
ESI research areas
Social Sciences, general
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