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The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways

Xiaolan Xie, Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Jürgen Scheffran, Tobias Ide, Jean-François Maystadt, Yushu Qian, Qian Wang, Shuai Chen, Jiajie Wu, …
Environmental Research Communications, Vol.6(11), 112002
2024
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CC BY V4.0 Open Access

Abstract

Environmental Behaviour & Psychology Topical Review
The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways.

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UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This output has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Source: InCites

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Collaboration types
Domestic collaboration
International collaboration
Citation topics
6 Social Sciences
6.27 Political Science
6.27.50 International Relations
Web Of Science research areas
Environmental Sciences
ESI research areas
Environment/Ecology
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