Logo image
Forecasting requests for General Practitioners’ Time at a busy medical centre Version 1
Report   Open access

Forecasting requests for General Practitioners’ Time at a busy medical centre Version 1

B.R. Clarke, C.J. Milne, N. Yatawara and E.H. Trepp
2001
pdf
Forecasting_Clarke_et_al_2001.pdfDownloadView
Open Access

Abstract

Objective: To create a model which relates the number of people requiring the doctors’ time in a set period to the amount of people requiring the doctor‟s time in previous periods. Design: Observational study using the doctor’s accounts from January 1995 to December 1999. Participant: Western Australian Medical practice, with multiple doctors and after hours consulting times. Main Outcome Measures: Total number of people that are billed by the doctors at the medical centre for the thirteen 4-week periods each year. Results: The number of people requiring the doctors’ time from 65 observed 4-week periods leads to a seasonal time series model. This is successfully fitted for all but one observation that is deemed to be an outlier. Conclusions: Statistical time series models offer a useful predictor of number of peoples’ requests for future time periods, which can be helpful in managing modern general practices.

Details

Metrics

195 File views/ downloads
150 Record Views
Logo image